中欧班列对开通省份出口的影响研究--以渝新欧班列为例
首发时间:2019-04-15
摘要:作为"一带一路"战略的重要一环,中欧班列的开通为中欧贸易往来打通了新道路,特别是给中国的内陆省市提供了新的贸易机会。中欧班列开通究竟是否能够影响开通省市的外贸呢?过往文献不乏研究中欧班列的,但未有人从实证角度研究其对外贸的影响。本文从实证角度出发,重点以重庆"渝新欧"班列为例,采用合成控制法与双重差分法结合,定量研究了中欧班列开通对所在省市出口的影响。结果表明,渝新欧班列开通对重庆出口有显著的正向促进作用。
关键词: 国际贸易学;中欧班列 渝新欧班列 合成控制法 双重差分法 出口
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The Impact of CRexpress on Province\'s Export -- Evidence from Chongqing-Sinkiang-Europe International Railway
Abstract:As one of the most important part of One Belt One Road, CHINARAILWAYExpress (CRexpress) provide China and European countries with a new way of international trade. CRexpress also provide those inland provinces of China with new trade opportunities. However, do CRexpress promote the foreign trade of local province? Many literatures have analyzed problems about CRexpress, but less have analyzed from demonstration viewpoint. This thesis concentrates on figuring out the impact of CRexpress on province\'s export from an empirical perspective. We use Chongqing-Sinkiang-Europe International Railway as the foremost example, adopt Synthetic Control Methods and Difference-in-Difference to explore the topic. The empirical result shows that CRexpress significantly promotes Chongqing\'s exportation.
Keywords: International Trade CRexpress Chongqing-Sinkiang-Europe International Railway SCM DID Export
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中欧班列对开通省份出口的影响研究--以渝新欧班列为例
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