基于MATLAB的灰色预测模型的实现
首发时间:2012-02-27
摘要:本文首先对灰色GM(1,1)预测模型的基本建模方法、数据处理原理及其算法核心思想进行了详细深入的讲解和讨论,同时为了定量化的对预测结果进行评价和评估,引入了灰色预测模型的多种检验指标和检验手段。为了简化灰色预测模型复杂的求解过程,建立了基于Matlab程序实现的灰色预测模型,该模型的实现算法具有简单方便、清晰简洁的优点。通过引入生活中的实例,对长江污染物排放总量的预测,说明该算法程序具有良好的数据预测和分析效果。
关键词: 灰色GM(1,1)预测模型, 预测精度, 污染预测
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GM(1,1) Forecasted Model Based on MATLAB and Application
Abstract:The article presents the algorithm of the gray forecasting GM (1,1) model and introduces a effective inspection method to measure the results of the model. In order to simplify solving of the model, the grey forecasting model is realized by Matlab programs. A case has been analyzed to validate the veracity and reliability of the model. The example of the Yangtze river pollutant projections show that algorithm procedure has higher accuracy and reliable results.
Keywords: gray forecasting GM (1,1) model, Prediction accuracy, Pollution forecasting
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基于MATLAB的灰色预测模型的实现
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